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Electric Cars Now, Not Tomorrow

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  • 2011 Nissan Leaf Picture

    2011 Nissan Leaf Picture

    Nissan will start delivering the Nissan Leaf electric car to customers in the United States and Japan in just 12 months. | November 12, 2009

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Electric Cars Now, Not Tomorrow

We Think the Time Is Right for Electric Cars

    29 Ratings

    Sometimes it does not matter who is the first to do something. Being the leader in a sport, in a business or in environmental responsibility does not necessarily mean you were the first in your field of expertise.

    This is the scenario that is unfolding with electric cars.

    Electric vehicles are not new to our industry. Manufacturers were offering battery-powered cars 100 years ago. But due to constraints on range, affordability and the supporting infrastructure, battery-powered cars were never mass-marketed and the internal combustion engine became the standard. Electric vehicles were relegated to low-volume specialist applications. And so the story continued for decades.

    In the 1990s we saw a resurgence of interest and technological progress in electric vehicles. As in the past, the odds were not in favor of widespread zero-emissions mobility. Battery technology had improved, but range and stability challenges persisted. The two major issues of affordability and infrastructure meant electric vehicles would not have traction in the mainstream of consumer mobility.

    Regardless of progress on batteries and motors, electric vehicles continued to be a sideshow for two principle reasons: lack of demand and a lack of a mass-marketed product. In a classic chicken-and-egg scenario:

    • • Why would governments create the infrastructure required with no demand?
    • • Why would consumers create demand for a vehicle they could not use as a practical day-to-day alternative to their gasoline-fueled cars?
    • • Why would manufacturers invest to produce electric vehicles when there was neither mass-market demand for the product nor investments from the public sector to create the infrastructure required?

    And so the stalemate continued — until now. Automakers are laying out plans to bring a variety of electric cars to the market in the next two years. Renault and Nissan are investing to bring zero-emissions technology on a global scale, beginning next year.

    Chicken or the Egg?
    We think electric vehicles could account for as much as 10 percent of global sales by 2020. Many have said we are hopelessly optimistic in our forecast. Those same people think we are underestimating the issues around range anxiety and people's reluctance to accept some of the changes required for owning and operating an electric vehicle. Critics also say that electric vehicles are not really zero emission when carbon is burned to produce the electricity.

    We believe the inherent properties of a modern electric vehicle — with its instant torque and exhilarating acceleration — can provide new driving thrills.

    It is possible that our critics could be right. Maybe Renault and Nissan are too far ahead of the industry. But we keep turning back to three fundamental questions that frame the EV discussion:

    1. 1. Do we think the price of oil will rise in the future?
    2. 2. Do we think legislation on emissions will increase in the future?
    3. 3. Do we think public concern about the environment will increase?


    If you believe — like we do — that oil prices will rise in the future and that legislation and public concern for the environment will both strengthen, then it is easier to conclude that zero-emissions vehicles are the answer to reducing CO2 in a world that is forecast to have 2.5 billion vehicles in operation by 2050.

    Many people already are concluding that the time is right for electric cars. We did some research recently in Japan and the United States, asking consumers to tell us what kind of vehicle they would like to choose as their next car. We listed conventional gasoline engines, diesels, hybrids and full-electric cars. In Japan, 9 percent of consumers selected electric cars as their No. 1 choice. In the U.S., 8 percent picked electric cars first. And this is without any mass-marketed product available today.

    No More Concepts
    In 2007, engineers and product planners at Renault and Nissan started to draw up plans to create a viable business based on developing our own batteries and a range of vehicles suitable for consumers across the world. Just two years later, the Alliance already has confirmed eight all-new electric vehicles, ranging from an innovative Renault two-seat city car and the Nissan Leaf to commercial vehicles from both companies and even a new luxury electric vehicle from Infiniti.

    These are all real vehicles, and they are coming very soon. In just 12 months, we start delivering the Nissan Leaf to customers in the United States and Japan. Renault will start delivering the first of its four announced vehicles in 2011, and the range of available products will keep growing. No more never-for-the-market concepts and no more limited-production experimental fleets.

    How does the Renault-Nissan Alliance offer compare to our competitors'?

    We are confident in our lithium-ion battery technology, which Nissan has been developing over the past 17 years. We are producing our own batteries, through a joint venture with NEC, so we will have better control of quality, cost and the ability to meet our forecast demand. We consider the battery as a core technology and a business. Through a separate venture with Sumitomo, we are planning a business to refabricate, resell, reuse and recycle the batteries, giving them a second life as energy-storage solutions in markets worldwide.

    We are also the only automotive group that has established more than 30 partnerships with governments, municipalities, utility providers and other organizations to lay the foundation for both the charging infrastructure and for incentives and policies that will encourage consumers to embrace electric cars. From San Diego to Yokohama to Monaco, the momentum is building for zero-emissions mobility.

    No More Fuel, No More Fun?
    For drivers who equate "electric car" with "golf cart," there may be a concern that the advent of electric vehicles could mean the end to vehicles that ignite the passion for driving or offer the simple joy of the connection between human and machine. That is an unfounded concern.

    I am fortunate to lead a group that covers five globally renowned brands and is committed — as it always has been — to delivering products that are both practical and emotional in their appeal. We brought you the Nissan GT-R, the Infiniti G and the Renault Mégane RS. We continue to invest in technologies dedicated to the advancement of high-performance motoring, including those using a conventional engine.

    Passion will always find a way to express itself in mobility. We believe the inherent properties of a modern electric vehicle — with its instant torque and exhilarating acceleration — can provide new driving thrills.

    We Are Ready
    Electric cars have been around for a century, so we are not concerned about being the first to market. We are, however, eager to lead the drive to make zero-emissions mobility an affordable and practical reality.

    The Renault-Nissan Alliance will pioneer by offering consumers the first EV lineup that they will want to own, drive and enjoy, along with the satisfaction of being part of the next major shift in the evolution of the automobile.

    dpc9000 says:

    01:43 PM, 11/22/2009

    As a consumer and enthusiast of automobiles, I would be interested in an attractive design (the Leaf is not) coupled with an advanced drivetrain that can emulate the driving experience of a traditional modern engined vehicle. I like the concept of the hybrid-diesel... and I belive it would be a game-changer. Americans have always been into torque-rich engines - the torque combination of electric/diesel could be phenominal, while providing fuel savings that would embarass gasoline hybrids.

    I would like to see VW take their diesel engines and apply hybrid technology. For the most part, Nissan vehicles are ugly (save for some Infiniti models and the Nissan GTR).

    ** Most importantly of all, these car manufactures desperately need to have all their cars go on a diet! My work vehicle is a '96 Civic HX that gets 38-44mpg on a very regular basis (city and hwy) and it only weighs 2400 pounds. Why are todays 'economy' car tipping the scales closer to 3k?  Incorporating rigid structures are other safety features does not have to mean adding more weight. Why not use more aluminum or other avdanced alloys to keep weight down?

    Anyway, you all get my point.

    hybris says:

    06:21 PM, 11/21/2009

    @mikedrud

    "Why does the U.S. continue to lag behind the rest of the world with respect to alt energy vehicles?  Just frustrating that we are too married to big oil to be jet-setters in this area.  I am optimistic, though, as even U.S. automakers are starting to see the potential of hybrid/EV technology."

    You are half right Americans like oil but anytime we try to get off even little bit we have one great enemy.


    The EPA.

    New technology can't get off the ground if you either set the restriction too high or (like in the case of nuclear power) too difficult or expensive to even consider in the first place, because in the beginning all new forms of technology are inefficient at first.

    vau33880 says:

    06:18 AM, 11/20/2009

    If it has a range of over 100 miles I am a buyer.

    Your typical lease with 12,000 miles a year gives your less than 50 miles a work day, and this is sufficient for most people.

    If you want to take a trip, rent a car for $20 a day.  

    NoSpinZone says:

    12:14 PM, 11/16/2009

    Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles are extremely interesting if you look into how they work as a system and would be relatively easily added to our current infrastructure.

    Yes, the hydrogen has to be generated, and currently that would be by coal mostly, but if you look at the efficiency of an internal combustion engine compared to an electric motor with electricity generated by a power plant, the latter is cheaper.

    Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles seem to combine the efficiency and cleanliness of an electric motor with the efficiency of a central power grid with much more portability than batteries can offer today.

    tpe says:

    10:22 AM, 11/16/2009

    While the Leaf is considerably cheaper than the Chevy Volt I could never own one without also owning a conventional ICE powered vehicle for longer trips.  So I'd need two cars instead of one.  At that point the Leaf doesn't seem like that much of a bargain compared to the Volt, which could be my only car.  However when an infrastructure of fast charging stations is built the equation will change and the Leaf could potentially be adequate as a person's only vehicle.

    shaohsiin says:

    09:22 AM, 11/15/2009

    I was in Santa Monica yesterday, and there was a Leaf displayed on 3rd street. It's a beautiful car with very nice details and finishes which not shown in these photos, which makes me really want to buy one.

    alexstore says:

    05:45 AM, 11/15/2009

    The cost of oil will go up, but so is the cost of electricity.  Pure electric cars are limited by their range, and like hybrids are waste for environment (Batteries) . Hydrogen cars use hydrogen made from coal. So all these "green solutions" cause more damage to environment than ordinary vehicles.  In fact I read somewhere long time ago that energy wise Scion xB is better than Prius.

    My hope that Nissan first improves long term quality and sticks with gas/ diesel engines. We are still far from producing energy efficient regular vehicles. Our "modern" engines still lose a lot of energy to heat not power.  If this will be addressed, eventually we will see  1.0L normally aspirated engines producing 200+ hp and averaging 50+ mpg. Look at Ferrari they already have 1L producing 127 hp without any turbo/ supercharging. Compared to NIssan they are limited production company, with that in mind Nissan can afford to hire more engineers to develop better engines.

    skyrocket says:

    04:42 PM, 11/14/2009

    I agree with samjpatrick about Carlos not being the mechanic.
    The mechanic is an idiot in my opinion.

    mattyfromma says:

    01:16 PM, 11/14/2009

    its good to hear about EV's and EV technology and that they will be able to buy in a year or two, the technology is not the best right now for batteries but i think that what the cars being released soon will get a good amount of miles out of a charge, and that more people buying these cars and time will lead to better EV's and probably changing the way we would recharge them, like using windmills or solar or whatever comes along moving away from coal being used to make electricity to charge the batteries, and i like the volt but honestly if the leaf is affordable like in the 20k range i would buy that cause i cant afford 40k and its a smart idea of what nissan is planning on doing like how they would recycle the batteries or find another way to use them is a smart idea on reusing their product

    nikki_sixx says:

    09:18 AM, 11/14/2009

    Ghosn is a visionary and future automotive historians will look at his decision to go EV as a landmark event. In an age where most automakers are still doing as much as they can to hang on to oil, he is making a clear, calculated move.

    In Japan, fellow automakers fear him and the public loves him because he does things that they are incapable of doing because they are scared of change.  Ghosn has proven them wrong by turning around Nissan.

    The fact of the matter is that Toyota could decide any day to have a plug-in Prius: the car has been proven to be able to run at highway speed under EV mode with a battery upgrade and a simple software tweak. Yet they refuse to go ahead in that direction and instead prefer to continue being the No1 provider of hybrid cars. Why should they change when there's no real competition?

    Similar story at Honda. Their Clarity hydrogen car is both gorgeous and functional. It already uses an electric motors and could be made into an electric car very quickly by replacing the hydrogen system with a battery pack. Yet, Honda chooses to play second fiddle to Toyota in hybrid sales and claim that EVs are not ready.

    Ghosn sees this, realizes that Honda & Toyota's claims of "EVs not being ready" is a lie and quietly executes a strategy to leapfrog *both* of them them.

    Genius.

    Go Carlos!

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